Spotted-Piety
Skill vs luck
Spotted-Piety on Polymarket: 5 settled bets · won 20% (95% range 4%–62%) · profit −$6.3K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Spotted-Piety: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xc568ea3938f689e4d4c0a4ec96d88341b7141a8c. Data CC BY 4.0.
Spotted-Piety: −$6.3K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 20% (95% range 4%–62%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 7 – Oct 24
- −$6.3K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Warriors @ 61¢ | Grizzlies vs. Warriors ↗ | $2.1K |
| Oct 23 | BUY Timberwolves @ 66¢ | Timberwolves vs. Magic ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 23 | BUY G2 Esports @ 48¢ | LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $1.6K |
| Oct 23 | BUY Eternal Fire
@ 52¢
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 20 | BUY Knicks @ 63¢ | 76ers vs. Knicks ↗ | $2.0K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?