Fixed-Rebellion
0xa8a53259e60402b0001953f49f66ccb47d35122b
Fixed-Rebellion: −$5.1K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 16%–75%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$5.1K
return −8.2%
Settled bets
7
$62K staked
Won
42.9%
95% range 16%–75%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$4.1K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$9.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | BUY Chiefs
@ 75¢
Chiefs vs. Raiders |
Chiefs vs. Raiders | $20K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Broncos
@ 40¢
Broncos vs. 49ers |
Broncos vs. 49ers | $20K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Cowboys
@ 47¢
Cowboys vs. Texans |
Cowboys vs. Texans | $11K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Commanders
@ 42¢
Colts vs. Commanders |
Colts vs. Commanders | $3.8K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Saints
@ 46¢
Raiders vs. Saints |
Raiders vs. Saints | $4.7K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Bengals
@ 42¢
Bengals vs. Texans |
Bengals vs. Texans | $3.7K |
| Sep 16 | SELL No
@ 55¢
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? |
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16? | $1.2K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.