Wee-Globe

0x5116ee15e86bc8878b90ac8a8514e38511eb58c4

Skill vs luck

Wee-Globe on Polymarket: 9 settled bets · won 89% (95% range 56%–98%) · profit −$4.7K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Wee-Globe: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x5116ee15e86bc8878b90ac8a8514e38511eb58c4. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Wee-Globe: −$4.7K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 89% (95% range 56%–98%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$4.7K
return −11.9%
Settled bets
9
$39K staked
Won
88.9%
95% range 56%–98%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 5
+$14
Oct 7 – Oct 24
−$4.7K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −11.2% (2,187 positions).

In the live feed

BUY $9.5K
bought Warriors @ 95¢ → lost (−$9.5K)

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 24 BUY Warriors @ 95¢ Grizzlies vs. Warriors ↗ $9.5K
Oct 24 BUY Jazz @ 74¢ Pelicans vs. Jazz ↗ $1.5K
Oct 24 BUY Trail Blazers @ 66¢ Trail Blazers vs. Kings ↗ $1.5K
Oct 24 BUY Timberwolves @ 78¢ Timberwolves vs. Magic ↗ $1.7K
Oct 22 BUY 76ers @ 55¢ Cavaliers vs. 76ers ↗ $2.8K
Oct 22 BUY Lakers @ 96¢ Warriors vs. Lakers ↗ $3.8K
Oct 22 BUY Raptors @ 92¢
Bulls vs. Raptors
Bulls vs. Raptors $7.0K
Aug 25 BUY No @ 99.9¢
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? $10K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792825211, computed 2026-10-24 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792825211 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed