Teeming-Birdwatcher

0xb8bafc68fee1a04be137731aa91032a96af1da22

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Teeming-Birdwatcher: +$15K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$15K
return +27.1%
Settled bets
5
$55K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 23%–88%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$7.9K
Sep 24 – Oct 12
+$23K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 11 BUY 49ers @ 58¢
49ers vs. Seahawks
49ers vs. Seahawks $12K
Oct 11 BUY Lions @ 78¢
Lions vs. Cardinals
Lions vs. Cardinals $15K
Oct 4 BUY 49ers @ 62¢
Broncos vs. 49ers
Broncos vs. 49ers $17K
Oct 4 BUY Eagles @ 40¢
Rams vs. Eagles
Rams vs. Eagles $1.4K
Sep 4 BUY No @ 41¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04?
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04? $6.0K
Sep 4 BUY No @ 52¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04?
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04? $1.9K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed