Outstanding-Jumper
Skill vs luck
Outstanding-Jumper on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 75% (95% range 30%–95%) · profit −$163. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Outstanding-Jumper: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x8717513a2f3936b09dde0a7da636a4da1b0b32c2. Data CC BY 4.0.
Outstanding-Jumper: −$163 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 5
- +$472
- Oct 7 – Oct 24
- −$635
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Warriors @ 61¢ | Grizzlies vs. Warriors ↗ | $3.0K |
| Oct 16 | BUY Utah @ 51¢ | Utah vs. Oilers ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Miami (OH)
@ 61¢
Miami (OH) vs. UMass |
Miami (OH) vs. UMass | $1.4K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?