Polymarket market · Sports
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)
Resolved: Grizzlies won · See it on Polymarket ↗
12 whales traded $50K on this market since Oct 23, 78% of their buying on Warriors. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 1.5¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Grizzlies won, with 22% of the whale buying on it. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$9.8K and 6 lost −$38K: −$28K between them. Biggest win: Glaring-Salt, +$4.0K on Grizzlies. Biggest loss: Grown-Difference-Burnout, −$14K on Warriors.
The whales on this market
12 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grown-Difference-Burnout
297 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Warriors @ 49¢ | $14K | — | −$14K |
| Positive-Console
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Warriors @ 48¢ | $8.2K | — | −$8.2K |
| Quarrelsome-Cloak
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Warriors @ 48¢ | $5.3K | — | −$5.3K |
| Fake-Bitter
1,343 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Warriors @ 48¢ | $4.8K | — | −$4.8K |
| Grotesque-Answer
49 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Warriors @ 52¢ | $4.5K | — | −$4.5K |
| Glaring-Salt
1,942 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Grizzlies @ 50¢ | $4.0K | — | +$4.0K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,599 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Grizzlies @ 51¢ | $2.1K | — | +$2.1K |
| Creamy-Guest
71 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Grizzlies @ 50¢ | $2.0K | — | +$2.0K |
| Frozen-Stockintrade-Priority
7 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.4K | — |
| Far-Precipitation
100 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Warriors @ 45¢ | $1.4K | — | −$1.4K |
| Normal-High-Soy
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Grizzlies @ 51¢ | $1.4K | — | +$1.3K |
| Yawning-Chicken
284 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Grizzlies @ 76¢ | $1.0K | — | +$317 |
Where the whale money went
-
Warriors lost$38K78% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $1.4K sold
-
Grizzlies won$11K22% of whale buying · 5 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 23 to Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792825211).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies vs. Warriors | $264K | 33 | Won: Grizzlies | |
| Spread: Warriors (-1.5) | $56K | 7 | Won: Grizzlies | |
| Rockets vs. Spurs | $199K | 34 | Won: Rockets | |
| Trail Blazers vs. Kings | $123K | 20 | Won: Trail Blazers | |
| Pelicans vs. Jazz | $182K | 28 | Won: Jazz | |
| Clippers vs. Lakers | $67K | 11 | Won: Lakers | |
| Pelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5 | $156K | 5 | Won: Over | |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers | $114K | 14 | Won: Milwaukee Brewers |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?