Curly-Uplift

0xae53e52363ff16a948a9ac7ab6ac1bb05e565940

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Curly-Uplift: +$477 on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 57% (95% range 25%–84%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$477
return +4.7%
Settled bets
7
$10K staked
Won
57.1%
95% range 25%–84%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 6 – Sep 24
+$2.0K
Sep 24 – Oct 12
−$1.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 30 BUY Under @ 62¢
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 $2.1K
Sep 30 BUY New York Yankees @ 73¢
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees $1.6K
Sep 17 BUY Under @ 46¢
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5 $1.4K
Sep 17 BUY Yes @ 56¢
Will England win on 2026-09-17?
Will England win on 2026-09-17? $1.2K
Sep 17 BUY Tristan Schoolkate @ 87¢
Rennes: Anton Matusevich vs Tristan Schoolkate
Rennes: Anton Matusevich vs Tristan Schoolkate $2.5K
Sep 17 SELL Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong @ 93¢
Guangzhou: James Kent Trotter vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Guangzhou: James Kent Trotter vs Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong $1.3K
Sep 17 BUY Seattle Mariners @ 53¢
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) $1.4K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed