Arid-Revolver
0xa2cced8bfae7d645f7f437fb76becf2fcbb70cbc
Arid-Revolver: +$5.5K on 21 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 52% (95% range 32%–72%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$5.5K
return +1.3%
Settled bets
21
$418K staked
Won
52.4%
95% range 32%–72%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 21 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$62K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$14K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$53K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | BUY Fresno State
@ 47¢
Spread: Boise State (-7.5) |
Spread: Boise State (-7.5) | $28K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Arkansas State
@ 47¢
Spread: Arkansas State (-3.5) |
Spread: Arkansas State (-3.5) | $1.3K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Louisiana-Monroe
@ 51¢
Spread: South Alabama (-13.5) |
Spread: South Alabama (-13.5) | $22K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Colorado State
@ 48¢
Spread: Oregon State (-6.5) |
Spread: Oregon State (-6.5) | $11K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Utah State
@ 51¢
Spread: Boise State (-19.5) |
Spread: Boise State (-19.5) | $13K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Baylor
@ 52¢
Spread: Arizona State (-3.5) |
Spread: Arizona State (-3.5) | $13K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Georgia Southern
@ 50¢
Spread: Georgia Southern (-2.5) |
Spread: Georgia Southern (-2.5) | $5.9K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Eastern Michigan
@ 51¢
Spread: UMass (-5.5) |
Spread: UMass (-5.5) | $24K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.