Trustworthy-Permit-Reader

0xe26150becd1de0620346e7425016485a315ca785

Skill vs luck

Trustworthy-Permit-Reader on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 15%–85%) · profit +$1.8K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Trustworthy-Permit-Reader: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xe26150becd1de0620346e7425016485a315ca785. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Trustworthy-Permit-Reader: +$1.8K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.8K
return +11.4%
Settled bets
4
$16K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Oct 7 – Oct 24
+$1.8K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −11.2% (2,187 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 23 BUY G2 Esports @ 33¢ LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ $4.2K
Oct 23 BUY Celtics @ 56¢ Knicks vs. Celtics ↗ $3.8K
Oct 21 BUY BC.Game Esports @ 60¢
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs $2.0K
Oct 21 BUY Grizzlies @ 53¢ Jazz vs. Grizzlies ↗ $5.6K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792825211, computed 2026-10-24 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792825211 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed