Polymarket market · Sports

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres

Resolved: Pittsburgh Pirates won · See it on Polymarket ↗

19 whales put $141K into this market since Aug 25, 80% of their buying on San Diego Padres. Pittsburgh Pirates won. Of the 19 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$26K and 12 lost −$113K: −$88K between them.

The whales on this market

19 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Small-Folder
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck
San Diego Padres @ 56¢ $50K — −$50K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
951 settled bets Beat the odds*
San Diego Padres @ 60¢ $18K — −$18K
Ignorant-Shaw-Ego
84 settled bets Can't tell from luck
San Diego Padres @ 57¢ $9.8K — −$9.8K
Snappy-Basketball
246 settled bets Can't tell from luck
San Diego Padres @ 56¢ $9.6K — −$9.6K
Illiterate-Counterforce
254 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Pittsburgh Pirates @ 70¢ $8.7K — +$3.8K
Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck
San Diego Padres @ 54¢ $8.1K — −$8.1K
Hateful-Retouching-Pressroom
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Pittsburgh Pirates @ 44¢ $7.5K — +$9.5K
Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds*
Pittsburgh Pirates @ 45¢ $5.7K — +$7.0K
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
San Diego Padres @ 54¢ $4.9K — −$4.9K
Youthful-Mug
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
San Diego Padres @ 54¢ $4.1K — −$4.1K
Lively-Stirfry
65 settled bets Can't tell from luck
San Diego Padres @ 64¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
Exciting-Fir
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
San Diego Padres @ 54¢ $2.2K — −$2.2K
Mealy-Eggnog
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Pittsburgh Pirates @ 45¢ $1.9K — +$2.3K
Orderly-Venture
82 settled bets Can't tell from luck
San Diego Padres @ 54¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Each-Summary
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Pittsburgh Pirates @ 72¢ $1.4K — +$560
Irresponsible-Autumn
70 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Pittsburgh Pirates @ 72¢ $1.4K — +$543
Criminal-Meatball
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Pittsburgh Pirates @ 40¢ $1.4K — +$2.1K
Grateful-Battleship
1 settled bets Too few bets
San Diego Padres @ 54¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Snappy-Submarine-Mink
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
San Diego Padres @ 65¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K

Where the whale money went

  1. San Diego Padres lost
    $113K
    80% of whale buying · 12 buyers
  2. Pittsburgh Pirates won
    $28K
    20% of whale buying · 7 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 25 to Aug 26, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed