Polymarket market · Sports

Winston-Salem Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Lorenzo Sonego

Resolved: Lorenzo Sonego won · See it on Polymarket ↗

5 whales put $68K into this market since Aug 26, 56% of their buying on Lorenzo Sonego. Lorenzo Sonego won. Of the 4 whales whose whole position we captured, 1 made +$860 and 3 lost −$11K: −$10K between them.

The whales on this market

5 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Flamboyant-Hummus-Advance
29 settled bets Worse than the odds
Lorenzo Sonego @ 57¢ $13K $43K —
Criminal-Meatball
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Adrian Mannarino @ 35¢ $6.9K — −$6.9K
Reckless-Derivation
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Adrian Mannarino @ 34¢ $2.3K — −$2.3K
0xd44c…ab91
12 settled bets Too few bets
Adrian Mannarino @ 34¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Weird-Pathway
3 settled bets Too few bets
Lorenzo Sonego @ 57¢ $1.1K — +$860

Where the whale money went

  1. Lorenzo Sonego won
    $14K
    56% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $43K sold
  2. Adrian Mannarino lost
    $11K
    45% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 26, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Winston-Salem Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Fabian Marozsan $68K 10 Won: Fabian Marozsan
Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets $144K 13 Won: New York Mets
US Open, Qualification ATP: Nicolas Mejia vs Liam Draxl $70K 8 Won: Liam Draxl
Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees $209K 9 Won: Houston Astros
Winston-Salem Open: Hugo Grenier vs Sebastian Baez $117K 12 Won: Sebastian Baez
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves $131K 11 Won: Atlanta Braves
Monterrey Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Diane Parry $75K 12 Won: Diane Parry
US Open, Qualification ATP: Taro Daniel vs Andrew Johnson $67K 7 Won: Andrew Johnson
About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed