Polymarket market · Sports

US Open, Qualification ATP: Nicolas Mejia vs Liam Draxl

Resolved: Liam Draxl won · See it on Polymarket ↗

8 whales put $70K into this market since Aug 26, 60% of their buying on Nicolas Mejia. Liam Draxl won. Of the 6 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$16K and 1 lost −$1.6K: +$14K between them.

The whales on this market

8 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Salty-Wording-Breadcrumb
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nicolas Mejia @ 29¢ $13K $20K +$7.8K
Hateful-Retouching-Pressroom
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Liam Draxl @ 38¢ $4.0K $11K +$6.5K
All-Peasant-Drug
891 settled bets Worse than the odds
Nicolas Mejia @ 74¢ $4.2K $7.0K —
Cool-Okra
12 settled bets Too few bets
Liam Draxl @ 82¢ $1.8K $2.2K +$371
Powerless-Savannah
2,455 settled bets Beat the odds*
Liam Draxl @ 72¢ $2.5K — +$967
Bitter-Chitchat
9 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.7K —
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
979 settled bets Worse than the odds
Liam Draxl @ 83¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Long-Biopsy
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Liam Draxl @ 83¢ $1.2K — +$254

Where the whale money went

  1. Nicolas Mejia lost
    $17K
    60% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $27K sold
  2. Liam Draxl won
    $9.5K
    34% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $14K sold
  3. Liam Draxl lost
    $1.6K
    6% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 26, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets $144K 13 Won: New York Mets
Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees $209K 9 Won: Houston Astros
Winston-Salem Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Lorenzo Sonego $68K 5 Won: Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Fabian Marozsan $68K 10 Won: Fabian Marozsan
Winston-Salem Open: Hugo Grenier vs Sebastian Baez $117K 12 Won: Sebastian Baez
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves $131K 11 Won: Atlanta Braves
Monterrey Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Diane Parry $75K 12 Won: Diane Parry
Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics $76K 7 Won: Athletics
About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed