Hateful-Retouching-Pressroom
0xb3999f450fdb9ca90cc3fede27433ef5facd608e
Hateful-Retouching-Pressroom: −$48K on 42 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 36%–65%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$48K
return −14.5%
Settled bets
42
$332K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 36%–65%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 36 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$48K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | BUY Minnesota Twins
@ 48¢
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins |
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins | $3.4K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Arthur Fery
@ 62¢
Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Arthur Fery |
Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Arthur Fery | $7.4K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Ann Li
@ 59¢
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Ann Li |
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Ann Li | $10K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Vendula Valdmannova
@ 31¢
US Open, Qualification WTA: Elvina Kalieva vs Vendula Valdmannova |
US Open, Qualification WTA: Elvina Kalieva vs Vendula Valdmannova | $2.0K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Oliver Tarvet
@ 69¢
Roehampton 2: Charles Broom vs Oliver Tarvet |
Roehampton 2: Charles Broom vs Oliver Tarvet | $1.9K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Oliver Tarvet
@ 68¢
Roehampton 2: Charles Broom vs Oliver Tarvet |
Roehampton 2: Charles Broom vs Oliver Tarvet | $3.0K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Anastasija Cvetkovic
@ 70¢
ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Verbier 2 (Switzerland), clay: Anastasija Cvetkovic vs Valeriya Strakhova |
ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Verbier 2 (Switzerland), clay: Anastasija Cvetkovic vs Valeriya Strakhova | $3.0K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Fabian Marozsan
@ 61¢
Winston-Salem Open: Fabian Marozsan vs James Duckworth |
Winston-Salem Open: Fabian Marozsan vs James Duckworth | $4.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.