Polymarket market · Sports

Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Resolved: Arizona Diamondbacks won · See it on Polymarket ↗

10 whales put $178K into this market since Aug 26, 54% of their buying on Chicago Cubs. Arizona Diamondbacks won. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$130K and 7 lost −$96K: +$33K between them.

The whales on this market

10 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Substantial-Service
670 settled bets Beat the odds*
Arizona Diamondbacks @ 38¢ $76K — +$124K
Trivial-Ravioli
228 settled bets Worse than the odds
Chicago Cubs @ 94¢ $36K — −$36K
Frosty-Layer-Numismatist
98 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chicago Cubs @ 47¢ $25K — −$25K
Dependable-Waterfront
384 settled bets Beat the odds*
Chicago Cubs @ 96¢ $16K — −$16K
Urban-Cape-Disk
80 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chicago Cubs @ 50¢ $10K — −$10K
Lovely-Orchard-Stool
87 settled bets Worse than the odds
Chicago Cubs @ 87¢ $4.8K — −$4.8K
Unwieldy-Supporter
432 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arizona Diamondbacks @ 50¢ $4.5K — +$4.5K
Our-Dough
3 settled bets Too few bets
Chicago Cubs @ 87¢ $3.5K — −$3.5K
Webbed-Myth
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chicago Cubs @ 62¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
Radiant-Birdhouse
125 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arizona Diamondbacks @ 50¢ $1.2K — +$1.2K

Where the whale money went

  1. Chicago Cubs lost
    $96K
    54% of whale buying · 7 buyers
  2. Arizona Diamondbacks won
    $82K
    46% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 26, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed