Polymarket market · Esports

LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage

Resolved: LYON won · See it on Polymarket ↗

104 whales traded $787K on this market since Oct 24, 71% of their buying on Karmine Corp. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 3.5¢ less per share, with 83% of the size there to buy. LYON won, with 29% of the whale buying on it. Of the 60 whales whose whole position we captured, 31 made +$185K and 29 lost −$383K: −$198K between them. Biggest win: Harmless-Baseball, +$40K on LYON. Biggest loss: Gracious-Management-Circle, −$226K on Karmine Corp.

In the live feed

$487K from 25 whales, last 24h
BUY $185K
bought Karmine Corp @ 60¢ → lost (−$185K)
Gracious-Management-Circle · 21 settled bets · +$548K Can't tell from luck

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 104
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Gracious-Management-Circle
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karmine Corp @ 62¢ $226K — −$226K
Glossy-Spy
165 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karmine Corp @ 72¢ $46K — −$42K
Flaky-Integer
349 settled bets Can't tell from luck
LYON @ 73¢ $31K — −$3.8K
Taut-Semicolon
226 settled bets Can't tell from luck
LYON @ 44¢ $20K — +$25K
Sympathetic-Bullfighter-Sign
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karmine Corp @ 71¢ $18K — −$11K
Harmless-Baseball
85 settled bets Can't tell from luck
LYON @ 31¢ $18K — +$40K
Excellent-Stay
6 settled bets Too few bets
Karmine Corp @ 56¢ $17K — −$17K
Wiry-Mirror
101 settled bets Worse than the odds
Karmine Corp @ 76¢ $14K — −$14K
Wide-Sprout
70 settled bets Beat the odds*
LYON @ 44¢ $13K — +$17K
Well-Made-Sidewalk
137 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karmine Corp @ 73¢ $6.0K $6.9K —
Wild-Plough-Brocolli
8 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $12K —
Well-Made-Sovereignty
166 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karmine Corp @ 78¢ $11K — −$8.1K
Unconscious-Tower
72 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karmine Corp @ 79¢ $11K — −$9.5K
Jagged-Spread-Minibus
8 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $11K —
Actual-Promise
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $11K —
Tedious-Pagan
397 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karmine Corp @ 38¢ $10K — −$9
Nervous-Parallelogram
399 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karmine Corp @ 36¢ $9.7K — +$285
Untidy-Scene
9 settled bets Too few bets
Karmine Corp @ 39¢ $1.8K $7.9K —
Vengeful-Hose-Larder
130 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karmine Corp @ 74¢ $9.2K — −$757
Good-Natured-Conduct
7 settled bets Too few bets
LYON @ 45¢ $8.6K — +$11K
Worst-Analogue
425 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karmine Corp @ 41¢ $8.4K — −$3.4K
Strict-Hammock-Pamphlet
1 settled bets Too few bets
LYON @ 99¢ $8.0K — +$89
Wry-Portion-Wrong
104 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Karmine Corp @ 60¢ $7.8K — +$683
Forked-Settler
75 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $7.4K —
Bustling-Deadline-Section
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
LYON @ 23¢ $7.4K — +$25K

Where the whale money went

  1. Karmine Corp lost
    $440K
    71% of whale buying · 38 buyers · $25K sold
  2. LYON won
    $176K
    29% of whale buying · 44 buyers · $145K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792911646).

More esports markets the whales bet on

All Esports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage $1.28M 146 Won: Invictus Gaming
Dota 2: Astra Invicta vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B $87K 24 Won: LEGION
LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage $842K 98 Won: G2 Esports
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage $740K 111 Won: Gen.G
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage $1.42M 112 Won: Dplus KIA
Dota 2: Astra Invicta vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner $82K 19 Won: Astra Invicta
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage $531K 76 Won: Movistar KOI
LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage $376K 81 Won: Bilibili Gaming
About this data · run 1792911646, computed 2026-10-25 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792911646 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed