Unconscious-Tower

0x0947a002c043c8812fc1a7a7cf8685b2cae2c1c9

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Unconscious-Tower: −$13K on 37 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 51% (95% range 36%–67%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$13K
return −9.6%
Settled bets
37
$140K staked
Won
51.4%
95% range 36%–67%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 36 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$12K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$1.4K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 5 BUY Yes @ 30¢
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? $1.2K
Sep 24 BUY G2 Esports @ 79¢
Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winner
Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winner $1.4K
Sep 24 BUY TYLOO @ 39¢
Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winner
Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winner $1.2K
Sep 24 BUY G2 Esports @ 51¢
Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winner
Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winner $1.0K
Sep 24 BUY G2 Esports @ 48¢
Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winner
Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winner $1.0K
Sep 24 BUY TYLOO @ 58¢
Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winner
Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winner $1.7K
Sep 24 BUY Paper Rex @ 85¢
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C $1.3K
Sep 24 BUY Paper Rex @ 53¢
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner $1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed