Polymarket market · Esports
Dota 2: Astra Invicta vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner
Resolved: Astra Invicta won · See it on Polymarket ↗
19 whales traded $82K on this market since Oct 24, 85% of their buying on Astra Invicta. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 5.3¢ more per share, with 94% of the size there to buy. Astra Invicta won, with 85% of the whale buying on it. Of the 18 whales whose whole position we captured, 10 made +$15K and 8 lost −$11K: +$4.4K between them. Biggest win: Hefty-Tentacle, +$5.6K on Astra Invicta. Biggest loss: Wide-Eyed-Outside, −$2.2K on LEGION.
The whales on this market
19 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nervous-Kickoff-Weather
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astra Invicta @ 86¢ | $13K | — | +$2.2K |
| Hefty-Tentacle
87 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astra Invicta @ 68¢ | $12K | — | +$5.6K |
| Worthless-Researcher
102 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Astra Invicta @ 75¢ | $10K | — | +$3.3K |
| Wretched-Razor
25 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Astra Invicta @ 91¢ | $5.0K | $4.4K | −$651 |
| Wary-Shipping
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astra Invicta @ 99.89¢ | $8.9K | — | +$10 |
| Plain-Attitude
131 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astra Invicta @ 82¢ | $6.8K | — | +$1.5K |
| Unwieldy-Stick-Acetate
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astra Invicta @ 99.9¢ | $2.5K | — | +$3 |
| Wide-Eyed-Outside
1 settled bets Too few bets |
LEGION @ 28¢ | $2.2K | — | −$2.2K |
| Thoughtful-Grandfather-Timbale
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Astra Invicta @ 66¢ | $2.0K | — | +$1.0K |
| Suspicious-Helmet-Millet
8 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.9K | — |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,219 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Astra Invicta @ 89¢ | $1.8K | — | +$238 |
| Striped-Improvement-Fame
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Astra Invicta @ 61¢ | $1.6K | — | +$999 |
| Wrong-Octet-Bed
6 settled bets Too few bets |
LEGION @ 50¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Alive-Dreamer-Hummus
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
LEGION @ 29¢ | $1.4K | — | −$1.4K |
| Medical-Subtitle-Leg
81 settled bets Beat the odds* |
LEGION @ 32¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
| Cautious-Vine
145 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astra Invicta @ 83¢ | $1.3K | — | +$254 |
| Dearest-Urge
336 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
LEGION @ 29¢ | $1.2K | — | −$1.2K |
| Yellow-Daughter
13 settled bets Too few bets |
LEGION @ 45¢ | $1.2K | — | −$1.2K |
| Linear-Outlook
10 settled bets Too few bets |
LEGION @ 12¢ | $1.2K | — | −$1.2K |
Where the whale money went
-
Astra Invicta won$64K85% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $6.2K sold
-
LEGION lost$11K15% of whale buying · 8 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792911646).
More esports markets the whales bet on
All Esports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Astra Invicta vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B | $87K | 24 | Won: LEGION | |
| LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | $531K | 76 | Won: Movistar KOI | |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | $429K | 86 | Won: Top Esports | |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | $842K | 98 | Won: G2 Esports | |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner | $63K | 18 | Won: Team Spirit | |
| LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | $787K | 104 | Won: LYON | |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | $1.28M | 146 | Won: Invictus Gaming | |
| Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner | $72K | 22 | Won: Team Spirit |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?