Polymarket market · Esports
Dota 2: Astra Invicta vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B
Resolved: LEGION won · See it on Polymarket ↗
24 whales traded $87K on this market since Oct 24, 51% of their buying on Astra Invicta. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 4.9¢ more per share, with 95% of the size there to buy. LEGION won, with 49% of the whale buying on it. Of the 16 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$16K and 10 lost −$30K: −$14K between them. Biggest win: 0xf3ce…a57a, +$8.6K on LEGION. Biggest loss: Alive-Dreamer-Hummus, −$8.6K on Astra Invicta.
The whales on this market
24 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nervous-Kickoff-Weather
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
LEGION @ 86¢ | $14K | $1.5K | +$1.5K |
| Far-Gobbler-Blueberry
4 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $9.2K | — |
| Alive-Dreamer-Hummus
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astra Invicta @ 75¢ | $8.6K | — | −$8.6K |
| Mealy-Collaboration
295 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astra Invicta @ 71¢ | $7.9K | — | −$7.9K |
| False-Barbecue
65 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
LEGION @ 87¢ | $5.0K | — | −$418 |
| Humiliating-Towtruck-Gunpowder
15 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.7K | — |
| Jumbo-Permafrost
81 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $3.2K | — |
| Medical-Subtitle-Leg
81 settled bets Beat the odds* |
LEGION @ 59¢ | $3.0K | — | +$2.1K |
| Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling
233 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astra Invicta @ 45¢ | $3.0K | — | −$3.0K |
| Cautious-Vine
145 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
LEGION @ 77¢ | $2.9K | — | +$856 |
| Steel-Bull
102 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astra Invicta @ 55¢ | $2.9K | — | −$2.9K |
| 0xf3ce…a57a
127 settled bets Beat the odds* |
LEGION @ 25¢ | $2.9K | — | +$8.6K |
| Spectacular-Lottery-Cayenne
15 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.3K | — |
| Pastel-Push
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.3K | — |
| Petty-Roof
11 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.0K | — |
| That-Calm
10 settled bets Too few bets |
Astra Invicta @ 88¢ | $1.8K | — | −$1.8K |
| Plastic-Deployment
12 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.8K | — |
| Unfinished-Rebellion
8 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.7K | — |
| Oily-Size-Labor
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Astra Invicta @ 73¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Hefty-Tentacle
87 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astra Invicta @ 56¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
| Flawed-Hide
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Astra Invicta @ 79¢ | $1.2K | — | −$1.2K |
| Rewarding-Polarisation
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Astra Invicta @ 66¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
| Roasted-Complement
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
LEGION @ 60¢ | $1.0K | — | +$667 |
| Dishonest-Transaction
9 settled bets Too few bets |
LEGION @ 31¢ | $1.0K | — | +$2.3K |
Where the whale money went
-
Astra Invicta lost$30K51% of whale buying · 10 buyers
-
LEGION won$29K49% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $28K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792911646).
More esports markets the whales bet on
All Esports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Astra Invicta vs LEGION - Game 2 Winner | $82K | 19 | Won: Astra Invicta | |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | $842K | 98 | Won: G2 Esports | |
| LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | $787K | 104 | Won: LYON | |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | $1.28M | 146 | Won: Invictus Gaming | |
| LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | $531K | 76 | Won: Movistar KOI | |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | $429K | 86 | Won: Top Esports | |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | $740K | 111 | Won: Gen.G | |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | $1.42M | 112 | Won: Dplus KIA |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?