Polymarket market · Other
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?
Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗
35 whales put $261K into this market since Aug 29, 50% of their buying on No. No won. Of the 33 whales whose whole position we captured, 14 made +$142K and 19 lost −$127K: +$15K between them.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 35| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 63¢ | $36K | — | −$35K |
| Sparse-Outset
327 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 58¢ | $36K | — | +$26K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
979 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Yes @ 67¢ | $24K | — | −$24K |
| Thankful-Allegation-Fahrenheit
47 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 33¢ | $22K | — | +$45K |
| 0x78be…bde0
194 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 67¢ | $16K | — | −$16K |
| Foolish-Mango
227 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 35¢ | $15K | — | +$28K |
| Insecure-Bookcase
7 settled bets Too few bets |
No @ 98¢ | $13K | — | +$285 |
| Lost-Property
107 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 35¢ | $12K | — | +$22K |
| Passionate-Minorleague
34 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 69¢ | $10K | — | −$10K |
| Wan-Flash
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 66¢ | $7.7K | — | −$7.7K |
| Made-Up-Remnant
48 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Yes @ 62¢ | $5.0K | — | −$5.0K |
| Cautious-Quince
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 93¢ | $5.0K | — | +$375 |
| Agitated-Bricklaying
493 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 68¢ | $4.6K | — | −$4.6K |
| Next-Licensing
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 99.9¢ | $4.2K | — | +$4 |
| Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds* |
No @ 48¢ | $4.1K | — | +$4.5K |
| Ill-Notice
47 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 93¢ | $4.0K | — | +$317 |
| Rundown-Zampone
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 66¢ | $4.0K | — | −$4.0K |
| Untidy-Import
7 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.6K | — |
| Glaring-Salt
1,604 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 46¢ | $3.6K | — | −$3.6K |
| Miserable-Poison
1,032 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 34¢ | $3.6K | — | +$6.9K |
| Fake-Bitter
1,081 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 67¢ | $3.3K | — | −$3.3K |
| Wasteful-Hurt-Sprinkles
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
No @ 44¢ | $3.1K | — | +$3.9K |
| Memorable-Maelstrom
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Yes @ 63¢ | $2.8K | — | −$2.8K |
| Miniature-Ad
20 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.6K | — |
| Mild-Barn
21 settled bets Too few bets |
Yes @ 62¢ | $2.2K | — | −$2.2K |
Where the whale money went
-
No won$127K50% of whale buying · 15 buyers
-
Yes lost$124K49% of whale buying · 17 buyers · $6.2K sold
-
Yes lost$3.3K1% of whale buying · 2 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 29 to Sep 4, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1791710133).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-04? | $112K | 23 | Won: Yes | |
| Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5 | $60K | 13 | Won: Under | |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) | $71K | 10 | Won: Real Betis Balompié | |
| Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-04? | $52K | 7 | Won: Yes | |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | $72K | 10 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-04? | $57K | 13 | Won: Yes | |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs | $222K | 40 | Won: Vitality | |
| Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-09-04? | $66K | 8 | Won: Yes |