Wasteful-Hurt-Sprinkles
0xe4a785280932b1de883176e17284a4ad19194a1d
Wasteful-Hurt-Sprinkles: +$56K on 18 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 61% (95% range 39%–80%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$56K
return +31.5%
Settled bets
18
$178K staked
Won
61.1%
95% range 39%–80%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 16 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$56K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5 | BUY No
@ 72¢
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-09-05? |
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-09-05? | $10K |
| Sep 4 | BUY Over
@ 45¢
CA Platense vs. CD Riestra: O/U 2.5 |
CA Platense vs. CD Riestra: O/U 2.5 | $1.2K |
| Sep 4 | BUY No
@ 44¢
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04? |
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04? | $3.1K |
| Sep 4 | BUY Under
@ 58¢
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5 |
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5 | $2.8K |
| Sep 4 | BUY Under
@ 42¢
VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5 |
VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5 | $3.9K |
| Sep 4 | BUY Under
@ 42¢
VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5 |
VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5 | $1.9K |
| Sep 2 | BUY Yes
@ 57¢
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-09-02? |
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-09-02? | $2.2K |
| Sep 2 | BUY No
@ 61¢
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-09-02? |
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-09-02? | $10K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.