Warped-Scholar
0x56acab44cfca2e88bb9b3406890aea7bfa0cd77e
Warped-Scholar: +$14K on 132 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 42%–58%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$14K
return +2.6%
Settled bets
132
$565K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 42%–58%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 132 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$24K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$1.8K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$7.9K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY Yes
@ 22¢
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-10? |
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-10? | $1.8K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Camilo Ugo Carabelli
@ 9¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | $1.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Penguins
@ 68¢
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5) |
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5) | $8.9K |
| Oct 8 | BUY 76ers
@ 73¢
76ers vs. Nets |
76ers vs. Nets | $2.8K |
| Oct 7 | BUY No
@ 39¢
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-08? |
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-10-08? | $1.8K |
| Oct 7 | BUY No
@ 38¢
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-11? |
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-11? | $3.0K |
| Oct 7 | BUY No
@ 50¢
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-11? |
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-11? | $1.5K |
| Oct 7 | BUY No
@ 39¢
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-12? |
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-12? | $1.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.