Grateful-Legume

0x399b81df49fc2fd963d0618156fb701e0bfd765e

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Grateful-Legume: +$14 on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 42% (95% range 19%–68%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$14
return +0.2%
Settled bets
12
$7.2K staked
Won
41.7%
95% range 19%–68%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$7
Sep 6 – Sep 24
+$9
Sep 24 – Oct 12
−$2
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 SELL Spirit @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner $1.9K
Sep 23 SELL No @ 99.9¢
Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-09-23?
Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-09-23? $2.3K
Sep 23 BUY No @ 99¢
Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-09-23?
Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-09-23? $1.2K
Sep 19 SELL No @ 99.9¢
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19?
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19? $3.2K
Sep 15 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-09-15?
Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-09-15? $3.1K
Sep 15 BUY Yes @ 99.2¢
Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-09-15?
Will Al Ain FC win on 2026-09-15? $1.0K
Sep 14 SELL No @ 99.9¢
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-09-14?
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-09-14? $3.0K
Aug 31 BUY Golden State Valkyries @ 99.6¢
Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire
Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire $1.3K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed