Gentle-Mailbox

0xd133d98e41e0be0016d559ac90182ad95db6ef27

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Gentle-Mailbox: +$1.5K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 64% (95% range 35%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$1.5K
return +7.3%
Settled bets
11
$20K staked
Won
63.6%
95% range 35%–85%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 24 – Oct 12
+$1.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 11 BUY Yes @ 93¢
Will Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?
Will Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF end in a draw? $1.5K
Oct 11 BUY Yes @ 71¢
Will Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?
Will Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF end in a draw? $4.0K
Oct 11 BUY Yes @ 69¢
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan end in a draw? $4.0K
Oct 11 BUY Yes @ 79¢
Will Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?
Will Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? $1.6K
Oct 11 BUY Yes @ 91¢
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw? $1.0K
Oct 10 BUY Yes @ 78¢
Will FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?
Will FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? $1.5K
Oct 9 SELL Yes @ 99¢
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw? $1.6K
Oct 9 BUY Yes @ 63¢
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw? $1.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed