Functional-Brownie
Skill vs luck
Functional-Brownie on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 34%–100%) · profit +$3.7K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 18, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Functional-Brownie: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 18, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x806389e02b6fa466a7770b97cc9b55251ee76639. Data CC BY 4.0.
Functional-Brownie: +$3.7K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- +$3.7K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | BUY Yes @ 36¢ | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17? ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 17 | SELL Maja Chwalinska @ 66¢ | Wuhan Tennis Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maja Chwalinska ↗ | $3.8K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Maja Chwalinska @ 40¢ | Wuhan Tennis Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maja Chwalinska ↗ | $2.3K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?