Hollow-Hectare-Hill
Skill vs luck
Hollow-Hectare-Hill on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 44%–100%) · profit +$5.4K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 18, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Hollow-Hectare-Hill: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 18, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x50ff5927d63c62211e59bcf9e903d5b3b952627e. Data CC BY 4.0.
Hollow-Hectare-Hill: +$5.4K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 44%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- +$5.4K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | SELL Yes @ 85¢ | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17? ↗ | $5.1K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Yes @ 38¢ | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17? ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Yes @ 41¢ | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17? ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 14 | BUY Yes @ 49¢ | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? ↗ | $2.0K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?