Polymarket market · Esports

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

Resolved: Aurora won · See it on Polymarket ↗

25 whales put $95K into this market since Sep 22, 70% of their buying on LGD Gaming. Aurora won. Of the 16 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$13K and 10 lost −$32K: −$19K between them.

The whales on this market

25 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Bouncy-Podcast-Origin
108 settled bets Can't tell from luck
LGD Gaming @ 51¢ $2.6K $10K —
Grounded-Pantologist-Income
89 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $6.1K —
Noisy-Dearest
49 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $5.7K —
Safe-Weight
101 settled bets Can't tell from luck
LGD Gaming @ 71¢ $4.4K $1.2K —
Cautious-Vine
100 settled bets Can't tell from luck
LGD Gaming @ 59¢ $5.2K — −$5.2K
Only-Gutter
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
LGD Gaming @ 52¢ $5.0K — −$5.0K
Unfit-Outrigger
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora @ 97¢ $5.0K — +$155
Yellowish-Macadamia-Heroine
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck
LGD Gaming @ 57¢ $1.3K $3.3K —
Inborn-Chalice
105 settled bets Can't tell from luck
LGD Gaming @ 58¢ $4.2K — −$4.2K
Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling
170 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora @ 51¢ $4.0K — +$3.9K
Unconscious-Pulley
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.5K —
0xf3ce…a57a
78 settled bets Beat the odds*
Aurora @ 47¢ $3.3K — +$3.7K
Impeccable-Vermicelli
82 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.0K —
Straight-Eveningwear-Gerbil
103 settled bets Can't tell from luck
LGD Gaming @ 70¢ $3.0K — −$3.0K
Sparkling-Meal
87 settled bets Can't tell from luck
LGD Gaming @ 53¢ $2.9K — −$2.9K
Strident-Trace-Yacht
34 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.8K —
Nervous-Parallelogram
283 settled bets Can't tell from luck
LGD Gaming @ 55¢ $2.8K — −$2.8K
Worst-Analogue
305 settled bets Can't tell from luck
LGD Gaming @ 55¢ $2.7K — −$2.7K
Tedious-Pagan
293 settled bets Can't tell from luck
LGD Gaming @ 55¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Tinted-Sea-Initialize
21 settled bets Beat the odds*
LGD Gaming @ 55¢ $2.4K — −$2.4K
Wry-Grandfather
54 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.9K —
Medical-Subtitle-Leg
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora @ 31¢ $1.8K — +$4.1K
Worn-Tadpole
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora @ 97¢ $1.5K — +$47
Jumbo-Permafrost
68 settled bets Can't tell from luck
LGD Gaming @ 62¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Scornful-Nursing
17 settled bets Too few bets
Aurora @ 50¢ $1.5K — +$1.5K

Where the whale money went

  1. LGD Gaming lost
    $40K
    70% of whale buying · 13 buyers · $2.0K sold
  2. Aurora won
    $17K
    30% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $35K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 22, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed