Sparkling-Meal
0xc6f1e1e8ae814ff217745da5de7a0fbac6095729
Sparkling-Meal: +$8.9K on 87 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 52% (95% range 41%–62%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$8.9K
return +9.4%
Settled bets
87
$95K staked
Won
51.7%
95% range 41%–62%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 45 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$4.5K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$737
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$5.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY JD Gaming
@ 57¢
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Luminosity
@ 58¢
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs BIG - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs BIG - Map 1 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 2 | SELL Solary
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy - Game 3 Winner | $1.0K |
| Oct 2 | SELL T1 Academy
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner | $1.7K |
| Oct 2 | BUY T1 Academy
@ 70¢
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner |
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Luminosity
@ 52¢
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity - Map 1 Winner | $1.8K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Team Liquid
@ 89¢
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Sep 26 | SELL Heroic
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Playoffs | $4.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.