Impeccable-Vermicelli
0xdc8359fc0c49132b7bfff407d7f26dca5b8f08f4
Profit
+$62K
return +47.8%
Settled bets
82
$130K staked
Won
51.2%
95% range 41%–62%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 33 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Aug 20 – Sep 4: +$56K
Sep 4 – Sep 20: −$64
Sep 20 – Oct 5: +$5.8K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | Bought Team Nemesis
at 82¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage |
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | $1.5K |
| Sep 23 | Bought Conventus Stellarum
at 73¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 1 Winner | $1.1K |
| Sep 22 | Bought Team Synapse
at 50¢
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Kalmychata - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Kalmychata - Game 2 Winner | $1.5K |
| Sep 22 | Bought Team Synapse
at 50¢
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Kalmychata - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Kalmychata - Game 2 Winner | $1.5K |
| Sep 22 | Sold Aurora
at 99.9¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner | $3.0K |
| Sep 21 | Bought Team Yandex
at 72¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | $1.5K |
| Sep 21 | Sold Team Yandex
at 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | $3.7K |
| Sep 21 | Bought Team Nemesis
at 71¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.