Strident-Trace-Yacht
0x6a6a7be6dcf793462accb55e0192b0374b7c83fc
Strident-Trace-Yacht: −$1.7K on 34 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 47% (95% range 32%–63%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$1.7K
return −7.7%
Settled bets
34
$22K staked
Won
47.1%
95% range 32%–63%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 16 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$1.6K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$53
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Naho Sato
@ 91¢
W35 Wagga Wagga: Naho Sato vs Himari Sato |
W35 Wagga Wagga: Naho Sato vs Himari Sato | $1.1K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Team Spirit
@ 91¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | $1.3K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Aurora
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Daria Egorova
@ 99.9¢
W15 Maanshan: Daria Egorova vs Yiru Chen |
W15 Maanshan: Daria Egorova vs Yiru Chen | $1.1K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Daria Egorova
@ 97¢
W15 Maanshan: Daria Egorova vs Yiru Chen |
W15 Maanshan: Daria Egorova vs Yiru Chen | $1.1K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Adam Walton
@ 94¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Rigele Te |
Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Rigele Te | $1.0K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Dominic Stricker
@ 97¢
Villena: Dominic Stricker vs Enrique Carrascosa Diaz |
Villena: Dominic Stricker vs Enrique Carrascosa Diaz | $1.3K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Team Spirit
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | $1.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.