Scornful-Nursing

0xfa8850079e893d6b86d90e73672810a543af85a5

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Scornful-Nursing: −$4.9K on 17 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 29% (95% range 13%–53%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$4.9K
return −26.0%
Settled bets
17
$19K staked
Won
29.4%
95% range 13%–53%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$5.8K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$570
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$1.5K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 8 SELL Aurora @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner $20K
Oct 3 SELL 1win @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier
Dota 2: 1win vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier $20K
Oct 3 SELL HANJIN BRION @ 99.9¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage $10K
Sep 22 BUY Aurora @ 50¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner $1.5K
Sep 17 BUY Top Esports @ 46¢
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner $1.4K
Sep 13 SELL Gen.G @ 99.9¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner $15K
Sep 11 BUY DN SOOPers Challengers @ 38¢
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winner
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winner $1.1K
Sep 6 BUY Ninjas in Pyjamas @ 59¢
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner $3.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed