Rundown-Pith-Pheasant
Skill vs luck
Rundown-Pith-Pheasant on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–56%) · profit −$3.1K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Rundown-Pith-Pheasant: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xdb219d570620e1b1fae9bbe6df7631873f22cdf3. Data CC BY 4.0.
Rundown-Pith-Pheasant: −$3.1K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 28
- −$3.1K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | SELL Tampa Bay Rays @ 55¢ | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 27 | SELL Vitality @ 84¢ | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage ↗ | $2.5K |
| Oct 27 | SELL Warriors @ 38¢ | Warriors vs. Nuggets ↗ | $1.0K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?