Ill-Informed-Mast
0x9c82c60829df081d593055ee5fa288870c051f13
Ill-Informed-Mast: −$17K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$17K
return −45.3%
Settled bets
4
$36K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 30%–95%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$7.1K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$24K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | BUY Luminosity
@ 59¢
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX (BO5) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX (BO5) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs | $24K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Invictus Gaming
@ 66¢
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs |
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs | $1.5K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Liquid
@ 66¢
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Infinite (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B |
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Infinite (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B | $2.0K |
| Sep 17 | BUY NIP
@ 64¢
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A |
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs NIP (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A | $9.3K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.