Cultivated-Communist
0x19d019c57fe095beee17f1f0e5a144a80c392101
Cultivated-Communist: +$2.6K on 26 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 65% (95% range 46%–81%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$2.6K
return +7.1%
Settled bets
26
$36K staked
Won
65.4%
95% range 46%–81%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 13 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 3 – Sep 17
- +$546
- Oct 1 – Oct 16
- +$2.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.7%
(2,012 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15 | BUY Team WE @ 61¢ | LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner ↗ | $1.3K |
| Oct 15 | SELL Elina Svitolina @ 99.9¢ | Wuhan Tennis Open: Elina Svitolina vs Hanyu Guo ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 15 | BUY Over
@ 77¢
Games Total: O/U 3.5 |
Games Total: O/U 3.5 | $1.2K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Under
@ 93¢
Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5 |
Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5 | $1.5K |
| Oct 11 | SELL Juventus FC
@ 92¢
Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5) |
Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5) | $1.5K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Juventus FC
@ 97¢
Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5) |
Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5) | $1.6K |
| Oct 11 | SELL Manchester City FC
@ 99.9¢
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) |
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) | $1.6K |
| Oct 11 | SELL Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
@ 99.9¢
Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5) |
Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-1.5) | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.