Sane-Attention
Skill vs luck
Sane-Attention on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 34%–100%) · profit +$559. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Sane-Attention: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xf886736d4bf5982c29cb68735fb777298f172620. Data CC BY 4.0.
Sane-Attention: +$559 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 28
- +$559
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | BUY Vitality @ 83¢ | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Gen.G @ 82¢ | LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $1.4K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?