Good-Waiter-Staircase
Skill vs luck
Good-Waiter-Staircase on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 34%–100%) · profit +$1.7K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Good-Waiter-Staircase: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x2785bb3162fd1d9df36820d42217ada38595ce75. Data CC BY 4.0.
Good-Waiter-Staircase: +$1.7K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 28
- +$1.7K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | BUY Vitality @ 69¢ | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 16 | SELL Maple Leafs
@ 89¢
Sabres vs. Maple Leafs |
Sabres vs. Maple Leafs | $1.2K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?