Polymarket market · Other
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
Resolved: Natus Vincere won · See it on Polymarket ↗
43 whales traded $255K on this market since Oct 28, 59% of their buying on Spirit. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.4¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Natus Vincere won, with 40% of the whale buying on it. Of the 31 whales whose whole position we captured, 12 made +$120K and 19 lost −$124K: −$3.4K between them. Biggest win: Creative-Midwife, +$80K on Natus Vincere. Biggest loss: Utter-Grandparent-Coral, −$30K on Spirit.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 43| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,465 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Spirit @ 69¢ | $39K | — | −$25K |
| Creative-Midwife
207 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Natus Vincere @ 32¢ | $38K | — | +$80K |
| Utter-Grandparent-Coral
78 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Spirit @ 71¢ | $30K | — | −$30K |
| Homely-Modernist
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Spirit @ 69¢ | $15K | — | −$15K |
| Corrupt-Poisoning
522 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Natus Vincere @ 56¢ | $12K | — | +$9.8K |
| Quixotic-Brow
233 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Spirit @ 50¢ | $11K | — | −$11K |
| Guilty-Aide
60 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Natus Vincere @ 58¢ | $7.0K | — | +$5.1K |
| Delicious-Attacker
661 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Natus Vincere @ 51¢ | $6.3K | — | +$4.1K |
| Likely-Gallon
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Spirit @ 65¢ | $4.7K | $1.5K | −$3.2K |
| Monstrous-Dew
500 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Spirit @ 63¢ | $6.1K | — | −$6.1K |
| Itchy-Caterpillar
178 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Spirit @ 42¢ | $5.2K | — | −$5.2K |
| Stable-Armament
83 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Natus Vincere @ 42¢ | $5.1K | — | +$7.0K |
| Fake-Sculptural-Inside
9 settled bets Too few bets |
Spirit @ 65¢ | $4.6K | — | −$4.6K |
| Scary-Edible
1,632 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Natus Vincere @ 51¢ | $4.5K | — | +$4.3K |
| Plush-Debate-Paddle
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $4.4K | — |
| Used-Moose
31 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Spirit @ 70¢ | $4.0K | — | −$4.0K |
| Peppery-Cave
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Spirit @ 68¢ | $3.9K | — | −$3.9K |
| Perfumed-Professor-Watercress
4 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.8K | — |
| Wrathful-Row
293 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $3.3K | — |
| Yellowish-Eligibility
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Spirit @ 64¢ | $1.9K | $1.3K | — |
| Reckless-Derivation
65 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $3.2K | — |
| Pink-Haversack
11 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.0K | — |
| Crowded-Dollar
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.9K | — |
| Organic-Networking
75 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Spirit @ 70¢ | $2.4K | — | −$2.4K |
| Unwritten-Score
27 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Spirit @ 42¢ | $2.4K | — | −$2.4K |
Where the whale money went
-
Spirit lost$131K59% of whale buying · 19 buyers · $4.6K sold
-
Natus Vincere won$90K40% of whale buying · 13 buyers · $25K sold
-
Natus Vincere lost$2.3K1% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $1.5K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 28, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793257219).
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| Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BIG - Map 2 Winner | $55K | 5 | Won: fnatic | |
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