Crowded-Dollar
Skill vs luck
Crowded-Dollar on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$3.4K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +1.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 29, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Crowded-Dollar: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 29, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x94a8d3470d83fe34acd0b91593ef388dd5f3d115. Data CC BY 4.0.
Crowded-Dollar: −$3.4K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 15 – Oct 29
- −$3.4K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | SELL Natus Vincere @ 46¢ | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage ↗ | $2.9K |
All 1 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.