Polymarket market · Other

Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA - Map 4 Winner

Resolved: Nemiga won · See it on Polymarket ↗

33 whales traded $145K on this market since Oct 31, 60% of their buying on FURIA. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 2.2¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Nemiga won, with 40% of the whale buying on it. Of the 28 whales whose whole position we captured, 11 made +$35K and 17 lost −$73K: −$38K between them. Biggest win: Creative-Midwife, +$14K on Nemiga. Biggest loss: Glorious-Degree, −$17K on FURIA.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 33
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Glorious-Degree
9 settled bets Too few bets
FURIA @ 66¢ $17K — −$17K
Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
555 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FURIA @ 53¢ $12K — −$12K
Turbulent-Flung
13 settled bets Too few bets
FURIA @ 66¢ $8.4K $2.9K −$5.6K
Hopeful-Subprime-Soliloquy
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nemiga @ 79¢ $11K — +$2.9K
Sharp-Crisis-Opposite
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FURIA @ 66¢ $10K — −$10K
Wrathful-Row
322 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nemiga @ 80¢ $9.7K — +$2.4K
Creative-Midwife
218 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nemiga @ 34¢ $7.0K — +$14K
Bland-Tug
87 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FURIA @ 66¢ $6.2K — −$6.2K
Delicious-Attacker
697 settled bets Worse than the odds
FURIA @ 43¢ $1.8K $4.0K —
Finished-Cholesterol
79 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nemiga @ 58¢ $5.4K — +$3.9K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,579 settled bets Beat the odds*
Nemiga @ 57¢ $5.3K — +$4.0K
Superficial-Soliloquy-Diadem
4 settled bets Too few bets
Nemiga @ 36¢ $2.0K $3.0K +$3.6K
Gregarious-Instrumentation
88 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FURIA @ 66¢ $4.1K — −$4.1K
Strong-Parchment
16 settled bets Too few bets
FURIA @ 67¢ $1.9K $1.3K −$623
Tight-Decoration
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FURIA @ 65¢ $3.1K — −$3.1K
0xd6f9…e95d
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FURIA @ 61¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Ultimate-Underpass
282 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FURIA @ 47¢ $2.3K — −$2.3K
This-Principle
16 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.3K —
Total-Hyphenation-Barometer
3 settled bets Too few bets
Nemiga @ 85¢ $2.1K — +$357
Exemplary-Temp
14 settled bets Too few bets
FURIA @ 67¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Tired-Marimba-Consideration
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.8K —
Adept-Pin
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.8K —
Discrete-Century
151 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nemiga @ 50¢ $1.7K — +$1.7K
Shimmering-Poetry-Sprinter
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nemiga @ 76¢ $1.6K — +$500
Charming-Instrumentalist
213 settled bets Can't tell from luck
FURIA @ 76¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K

Where the whale money went

  1. FURIA lost
    $76K
    60% of whale buying · 18 buyers · $3.6K sold
  2. Nemiga won
    $51K
    40% of whale buying · 12 buyers · $15K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793602824).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
About this data · run 1793602824, computed 2026-11-02 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793602824 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed