Exemplary-Temp

0x81129c5959dba9f9468ff2bcd5235ee01ebb1e6f

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Exemplary-Temp: −$371 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 10%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$371
return −5.2%
Settled bets
6
$7.2K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 10%–70%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$371
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 SELL Nongshim RedForce @ 99.9¢
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winner
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winner $1.9K
Oct 1 BUY XLG Gaming @ 63¢
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner $2.5K
Oct 1 SELL Tasmania JackJumpers @ 99.9¢
Tasmania JackJumpers vs. Melbourne United
Tasmania JackJumpers vs. Melbourne United $2.7K
Sep 30 BUY OG @ 46¢
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C $1.5K
Sep 30 BUY Team Vitality @ 46¢
Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B
Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B $2.2K
Sep 30 BUY Under @ 50¢
Mexico vs. Peru: O/U 2.5
Mexico vs. Peru: O/U 2.5 $1.0K

All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed