Tired-Marimba-Consideration
Skill vs luck
Tired-Marimba-Consideration on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$2. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Tired-Marimba-Consideration: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x587328487d43888d5bac0090d46a7490dbeb9f01. Data CC BY 4.0.
Tired-Marimba-Consideration: −$2 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 18 – Nov 2
- −$2
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | SELL Nemiga @ 99.9¢ | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA - Map 4 Winner ↗ | $1.8K |
All 1 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.