Superficial-Soliloquy-Diadem
Skill vs luck
Superficial-Soliloquy-Diadem on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 15%–85%) · profit +$5.2K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Superficial-Soliloquy-Diadem: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xe3bc7c1f9b9a2fb467acd579d71462fc20f45bde. Data CC BY 4.0.
Superficial-Soliloquy-Diadem: +$5.2K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 18 – Nov 2
- +$5.2K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | BUY LOS @ 50¢ | LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 1 Winner ↗ | $3.7K |
| Oct 31 | BUY GamerLegion @ 28¢ | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Nemiga @ 25¢ | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA (BO5) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 31 | SELL Nemiga @ 99.9¢ | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA - Map 4 Winner ↗ | $3.0K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Nemiga @ 36¢ | Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FURIA - Map 4 Winner ↗ | $2.0K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.