Ultimate-Underpass
0xc69bd5567b40ef4d11922eaa57e1f9be1c642076
Ultimate-Underpass: −$106K on 184 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 58% (95% range 50%–65%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$106K
return −11.9%
Settled bets
184
$892K staked
Won
57.6%
95% range 50%–65%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 179 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$111K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$5.6K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$416
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY LGD Gaming
@ 74¢
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $1.4K |
| Oct 5 | BUY FlyQuest
@ 35¢
LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Natus Vincere vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 4 | BUY LYON
@ 24¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs |
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Team Liquid
@ 93¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs |
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | $4.2K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Team Liquid
@ 84¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 2 Winner | $1.8K |
| Oct 2 | BUY Solary
@ 99¢
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy - Game 3 Winner |
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy - Game 3 Winner | $1.6K |
| Sep 30 | SELL Natus Vincere
@ 67¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | $2.6K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 74¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | $2.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.