Tight-Hemisphere

0x98a79b835565d6fbc877121d04020e961325b766

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Tight-Hemisphere: −$4.6K on 17 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 18% (95% range 6%–41%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$4.6K
return −59.7%
Settled bets
17
$7.7K staked
Won
17.6%
95% range 6%–41%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$272
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$4.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 21 BUY Alex Rybakov @ 56¢
San Diego 2: Ozan Baris vs Alex Rybakov
San Diego 2: Ozan Baris vs Alex Rybakov $1.1K
Sep 20 BUY Pibbles Corp @ 11¢
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Pibbles Corp - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Pibbles Corp - Game 1 Winner $1.3K
Sep 19 SELL MIBR @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs NRG (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs NRG (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs $1.4K
Sep 13 SELL Anyones Legend @ 95¢
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner $1.5K
Sep 13 SELL Gen.G @ 94¢
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner $2.8K
Sep 12 SELL Movistar KOI @ 64¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner $1.3K
Sep 12 SELL Pipsqueak+4 @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner $1.7K
Sep 12 SELL Anyones Legend @ 99.9¢
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner $1.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed