Compassionate-Switchboard-Casino
Skill vs luck
Compassionate-Switchboard-Casino on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–56%) · profit −$2.5K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 18, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Compassionate-Switchboard-Casino: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 18, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x6729024fccc8062f2a78772e092b1d4f529c9060. Data CC BY 4.0.
Compassionate-Switchboard-Casino: −$2.5K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 18 – Oct 3
- −$1.1K
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- −$1.4K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | BUY Team Falcons @ 73¢ | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 17 | SELL FURIA @ 99.9¢ | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Yes @ 30¢ | Will Israel win on 2026-10-01? ↗ | $1.1K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Yes @ 32¢ | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? ↗ | $2.0K |
All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?