Sour-Assertion
0x934a375567da25fb5b8989b870d62087fd4ca684
Sour-Assertion: −$3.5K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 17% (95% range 3%–56%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$3.5K
return −53.7%
Settled bets
6
$6.4K staked
Won
16.7%
95% range 3%–56%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$2.9K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$537
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | SELL MOUZ
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $2.7K |
| Sep 18 | SELL MOUZ
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Sep 6 | SELL Yes
@ 81¢
Will Spirit Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026? |
Will Spirit Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026? | $2.2K |
| Aug 27 | BUY Yes
@ 64¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $1.1K |
| Aug 27 | BUY Yes
@ 64¢
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | $7.4K |
| Aug 23 | BUY FUT Esports
@ 25¢
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | $1.0K |
| Aug 22 | BUY FUT Esports
@ 40¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | $1.5K |
| Aug 21 | SELL Spirit
@ 43¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | $1.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.