Worse-Alcove-Umbrella

0x463ca337063a9c4efdaad937950d84497dded033

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Worse-Alcove-Umbrella: −$1.2K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–43%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.2K
return −117.1%
Settled bets
5
$1.0K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–43%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$1.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 7 BUY M80 @ 14¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $1.0K
Oct 3 SELL Aurora Gaming @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $1.8K
Oct 3 SELL Vitality @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner $1.7K
Oct 1 SELL Passion Academy @ 89¢
Counter-Strike: Revenge vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B
Counter-Strike: Revenge vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B $1.2K
Sep 28 SELL Noir Verse @ 99¢
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #10 Group Stage
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Noir Verse (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #10 Group Stage $2.3K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed