Darling-Bread

0xdbaf488fd5e23fced831a80472b50a9f0018f5d1

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Darling-Bread: −$1.8K on 72 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 1% (95% range 0%–8%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.8K
return −76.2%
Settled bets
72
$2.4K staked
Won
1.4%
95% range 0%–8%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$48
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$978
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$804
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 5 SELL 1WIN @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner $1.3K
Oct 5 SELL FURIA @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage $2.2K
Oct 4 SELL LYON @ 99.9¢
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 3 Winner
LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 3 Winner $1.4K
Oct 3 SELL FURIA Esports @ 99.9¢
LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner
LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner $3.8K
Oct 3 SELL BNK FEARX @ 99.9¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage $2.3K
Oct 3 SELL RED Canids @ 99.9¢
LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
LoL: RED Canids vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage $1.5K
Oct 2 SELL FaZe @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner $1.1K
Oct 2 SELL fnatic @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: B8 vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: B8 vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner $1.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed