Entire-Phase

0xdc6b2be99e26972d18b1f988f20f2e13a6286bc0

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Entire-Phase: −$672 on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 10%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$672
return −14.6%
Settled bets
6
$4.6K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 10%–70%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 24 – Oct 12
−$672
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 11 SELL Vitality @ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner $1.6K
Oct 11 BUY Vitality @ 64¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner $1.0K
Oct 10 BUY Yes @ 87¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10? $2.5K
Oct 9 SELL MOUZ @ 89¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $2.0K
Oct 5 SELL MOUZ @ 95¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner $1.6K
Oct 2 BUY Yes @ 60¢
Will France win on 2026-10-02?
Will France win on 2026-10-02? $1.1K
Oct 1 SELL Nemiga @ 86¢
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs $1.1K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed