Polymarket market · Other

Counter-Strike: BIG vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs

Resolved: BIG won · See it on Polymarket ↗

22 whales put $95K into this market since Oct 1, 51% of their buying on BIG. BIG won. Of the 19 whales whose whole position we captured, 10 made +$34K and 9 lost −$23K: +$11K between them.

The whales on this market

22 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Cooperative-Slime
11 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $13K —
Flat-Object
7 settled bets Too few bets
BIG @ 62¢ $13K — +$7.9K
Scary-Edible
1,330 settled bets Beat the odds*
fnatic @ 62¢ $12K — +$16K
Jolly-Grove
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
fnatic @ 76¢ $6.2K $2.4K −$3.8K
Far-Off-Candidate
133 settled bets Can't tell from luck
BIG @ 57¢ $2.3K $4.0K +$1.7K
Rash-Barometer
341 settled bets Can't tell from luck
fnatic @ 37¢ $6.2K — −$6.2K
Delicious-Attacker
439 settled bets Worse than the odds
BIG @ 74¢ $5.8K — −$1.8K
Fickle-Scholar
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
fnatic @ 44¢ $4.1K — −$4.1K
Discrete-Century
64 settled bets Can't tell from luck
fnatic @ 55¢ $3.7K — −$3.7K
0xb2cbf3389906f0cadb8d727bc166cfcc818b2bad
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
BIG @ 99¢ $3.2K — +$33
Easy-Titanium
73 settled bets Can't tell from luck
BIG @ 63¢ $2.4K — +$1.4K
Nippy-Proximal-Shadow
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
BIG @ 51¢ $2.2K — +$2.2K
Flawed-Infinite
188 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.0K —
Imperturbable-Crow
62 settled bets Can't tell from luck
BIG @ 60¢ $2.0K — +$1.3K
Valid-Subtitle
22 settled bets Beat the odds*
BIG @ 60¢ $2.0K — −$333
Cumbersome-Skirt
130 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.9K —
Harmless-Region
153 settled bets Can't tell from luck
BIG @ 60¢ $1.7K — +$1.1K
Variable-Ski
62 settled bets Can't tell from luck
BIG @ 63¢ $1.3K — +$740
Anxious-Recreation
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
fnatic @ 63¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Jolly-Felony
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck
fnatic @ 55¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Yellow-Alphabet
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
fnatic @ 86¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Better-Military
92 settled bets Can't tell from luck
BIG @ 38¢ $1.1K — +$1.7K

Where the whale money went

  1. BIG won
    $37K
    51% of whale buying · 12 buyers · $21K sold
  2. fnatic lost
    $36K
    49% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $2.4K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 1, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed