0xb2cbf3389906f0cadb8d727bc166cfcc818b2bad
0xb2cbf3389906f0cadb8d727bc166cfcc818b2bad
0xb2cbf3389906f0cadb8d727bc166cfcc818b2bad: −$456 on 18 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 94% (95% range 74%–99%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$456
return −0.4%
Settled bets
18
$109K staked
Won
94.4%
95% range 74%–99%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 17 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$116
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$573
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | BUY GamerLegion
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BET-M 33 - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BET-M 33 - Map 1 Winner | $2.2K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Team Falcons
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage | $16K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Aurora Gaming
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | $15K |
| Oct 5 | BUY BetBoom Team
@ 99.89¢
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner | $3.2K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner | $4.9K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Astralis
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 1 Winner | $4.0K |
| Oct 2 | SELL K27
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Team Nemesis (BO5) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Team Nemesis (BO5) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs | $1.3K |
| Oct 2 | BUY K27
@ 99¢
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Team Nemesis (BO5) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Team Nemesis (BO5) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs | $5.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.